Pew polling reveals Biden continues to lead Trump in the polls. Where Trump has a distinct advantage, however, is the strength of his support. Pew also reports on concerns Biden supporters have with Biden and Trump supporters have for Trump.
(Pew) "With less than three months until Election Day, Biden has an advantage over Trump in voter preferences: 53% of registered voters say if the election were held today they would vote for Biden or lean toward voting for him, while 45% support or lean toward voting for Trump.
At this point, Biden has a broader base of support among voters, while Trump’s support is much stronger. Two-thirds of Trump’s supporters (66%) say they support him strongly, compared with fewer than half (46%) of Biden’s supporters.
However, nearly identical shares of Biden and Trump supporters say they are certain to vote for their candidate in the presidential election (84% of Biden supporters, 85% of Trump supporters).
While virtually all of the “strong” supporters of both Biden and Trump say they are certain to vote for their preferred candidate, 90% of Biden’s “moderate” supporters express certainty about voting for him; a somewhat smaller majority of Trump supporters (83%) say they are certain to vote for him.
For Biden supporters, opposition to Trump is by far the most frequently mentioned reason why they support him. Asked an open-ended question about the main reason they support or lean toward Biden, a 56% majority of his supporters cite their opposition to Trump; far fewer mention Biden’s leadership or performance as a candidate (19%) or his personality (13%).
By comparison, Trump supporters cite a variety of reasons for supporting him, including his leadership and performance as president (23%), his issue and policy positions, as well as their opposition to Biden (19%)."
Overall, the numbers indicate Biden can win the presidency. It looks as though his broader base of support may pay off in November. However, there are some other interesting points to consider about the candidates.
It appears Trump supporters are concerned about his temperament. With some, it is their biggest concern. "As was the case during the 2016 campaign, many voters who support Trump have reservations about his temperament: In an open-ended question, 25% mention an aspect of his temperament as their biggest concern, with another 14% specifically citing his tweeting." (Pew) Tweeting really does reveal a major weakness in Trump-his temperament.
With Biden it is not temperament it is age and health. 31% of Biden supporters are concerned about his age and health vs. 1% of Trump supporters having the same concern.
These concerns, however, do not appear to impact Biden and Trump supporter's willingness to vote for their candidate.
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All the president is, is a glorified public relations man who spends his time flattering, kissing, and kicking people to get them to do what they are supposed to do anyway.
Harry S Truman
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