65% of registered Democrats say conventions are important when it comes to deciding who to vote for. The operative word is registered.
From this point forward, expect a consistent flow of news on polling. As the election draws closer, pay attention to whether there is a consistent stream of information showing either a wider spread between Trump and Biden or a narrowing of the spread between Trump and Biden. Trends may matter, and if you continue to follow the trends as Election Day draws closer the ability to forecast the results becomes more credible.
The gap between Donald Trump and Joe Biden is narrowing. Voter enthusiasm is high. Of significance is the narrow lead Biden has in states impacting the electoral college. Therefore, Donald Trump may be able to win the election.
The big question: Who is favored to win the presidential election? Joe Biden.
See what Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight has to say about this burning question.
In 2016 many voters voted for the candidate they did not hate the most. Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump were two of the most disliked candidates in political history. Moreover, Clinton may have won the popular vote, but she did not target and focus on key voting areas. Her strategic errors caused her to lose important votes in important electoral states.
Donald Trump needs to make a course correction before his political ship hits an iceberg of discontent, making it sink faster than the Titanic.
As the election draws closers voters are bombarded with polls. Different polls have different results. Moreover, polls can be confusing creating doubt in their accuracy.
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All the president is, is a glorified public relations man who spends his time flattering, kissing, and kicking people to get them to do what they are supposed to do anyway.
Harry S Truman
“Pro and con are opposites, that fact is clearly seen. If progress means to move forward, then what does congress mean?”
― Nipsey Russell
The court is really the keeper of the conscience, and the conscience is the Constitution.
William O. Douglas