McConnell said a yet to be named Trump nominee will get a vote. However, even though the comment suggests there might be a strong push to do so before the election, is that really possible? There are a lot of scenarios that may happen when it comes to a nominee getting a vote.
First, Trump has to make a nomination. Even if he rushes, that will take a little time. Knowing Trump, he will want to make a political event of the nomination using it as a campaign tool to motivate the republican voter.
Second, McConnell said the nominee would get a vote. He did not say when. Moreover, McConnell may want to make the process a game of political football to motivate the GOP voting base. After all, there are key Senate races in play that may determine who has a Senate majority.
Third, filling the seat can give a strong political message to motivate the GOP and Trump voting base. The message? If you vote for Joe Biden you can be assured that he will appoint a liberal activist judge to the Supreme Court.
The GOP Trump message will be one designed to promote fear among the base. Hopefully, the message will help turnout. In a close election in key states, this issue may have some importance...at least from the GOP strategist point of view.
Fourth, it puts republicans and Trump in the news, giving them the headlines they want before the November election.
Will there be a nomination before Election Day? Will the Senate vote on any nominee before Election Day? That answer may not be so clear because the GOP may stretch this out through Election Day to get the political advantage.
The bottom line is there are a lot of political dynamics at work. Here is a good analysis of the timing situation from Vox:
The possible timeline of a vote to fill Justice Ginsburg’s seatThere are also a few wrinkles with the timeline for when such a vote would be held.
onepolitics - explore politics with us.