Preserving The Power Of Democracy
Right now, a blue metamorphosis is happening with Joe Biden leading the vote in Georgia.
Even if Joe Biden narrowly loses, the dynamic change in Georgia from an overwhelmingly Republican state to a Democratic or leaning Democratic state shows a change in dynamics when it comes to voting and elections in the state. This changes is evidenced by Stacey Abrams candidacy for Governor. When she ran for governor as a black, liberal democrat, she proved this point that there is political change going on in Georgia. Abrams lost but showed the nation that Georgia is not the red state it used to be.
Now Donald Trump is losing to Joe Biden. The vote margin is close. However, if Joe Biden ultimately wins, it is an indication of a dramatic shift in the makeup of the population of Georgia. The once reliably republican state has changed.
However, the evidence of change does not stop with Biden/Trump. What about the Senate races? The current results prove Georgia is changing:
David Perdue 49.8% 2,456,211
John Osoff 47.9% 2,365,916
Vote difference 90,295
Then there is the special election for Senate:
Raphael Warnock 32.9% 1,611,836
Kelly Loeffler 25.9% 1,270,044
There are numerous other candidates, both Republican and Democrat, dividing the remaining vote.
Georgia law requires a runoff. The question is what happens when the runoff occurs in January 2021?
Typically, runoffs see a lower turn out. In this case, traditional thought would lean toward a lower turn out favoring the two incumbents.
In a runoff situation can either Democratic candidate generate enough interest to pull their supporters to the polls in greater numbers than the two incumbents? The challenge for Democrats is to keep the Biden victory momentum moving forward.
The peaceful gatherings in the state of Georgia, and across the nation, to celebrate the Biden Harris victory were significant. Can Democrats motivate minority voters in Georgia, in particular, to vote? Can they keep the Biden Harris excitement going, particularly among minority voters?
Runoffs typically favor incumbents. In Georgia, runoffs favor the republican candidates. Therefore, the Democrats must keep interest high and voter turnout higher.
However, it is important to remember that the population makeup and dynamics in Georgia are changing. Therefore, the question is whether Democrats can keep their momentum going into a runoff by capitalizing on the change while getting voters to the polls in greater numbers than their opposition. With the dynamic move in Georgia towards Democrats, both Democratic candidates for the United States Senate can win.
Regardless, things are never going to be the same in Georgia.
Preserving The Power of Democracy
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