As we have said in previous posts, the election will be decided by key swing states giving one candidate or the other the advantage in the Electoral College vote. It is possible that one candidate may win the Electoral College with the other candidate winning the popular vote (as in 2016). The following states, are key to victory. Here is the current polling data for each of the nine states important to the electoral win as reported by CNN.
It is the swing states that matter...they will give Trump or Biden the victory. Here is where both stand in the key swing states according to a report from USA Today.
"A recent Gallup poll found 77% of registered voters said the outcome of the November election between President Trump and Joe Biden matters more to them than prior U.S. elections.
That represents an uptick of 6 percentage points from 2016 when Trump faced of against former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. It is also the highest in Gallup's trend, dating back to 1996." Read more at Fox News.
These numbers say a lot. However, the disapproval is only part of the story.
With 20 days to go until Election Day in November, Democratic nominee Joe Biden leads in states worth 279 electoral votes, enough to theoretically win the presidency. CBS News director of elections and surveys Anthony Salvanto joins CBSN's "Red & Blue" host Elaine Quijano with a look at the state of the race. CBS
Even if you don’t want to believe it (Trump supporters) the fact is Donald Trump lost the 2016 popular vote by approximately 3 million votes. The way polls are pointing now, Trump is headed for another popular vote loss. However, he could do what he did in 2016 and win the Electoral College. Harry Enten’s analysis is proof this could happen.
Things are not looking good for Republican Senator Lindsey Graham. His opponent, Democrat Jamie Harrison, just shattered fund raising records. Harrison is also competitive in recent polls.
(NBC) “Only 27 percent of Americans believe Trump has taken the risk of contracting the coronavirus seriously enough according to the poll, while 72 percent say he did not take the risks seriously. A similar amount, 72 percent, say Trump did not take appropriate precautions regarding his personal health.”
(NBC News) The Democratic nominee is now ahead of Trump by 14 points among registered voters, 53 percent to 39 percent — up from his 8-point lead in the previous poll before the debate.
“Gallup reported that 56% of Americans believe the president will win in November. Only 40% said the same for Biden. In total, 90% of Republicans and 56% of independents predicted a Trump victory, compared to just 24% of Democrats.” Fox News
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