The GOP and Donald Trump are pushing a conservative nominee for the Supreme Court of The United States. They are doing so at their great peril because the push may have negative impact on the GOP in November (and currently because voting is ongoing). It appears voters are decidedly against Trump and the GOP on filling Ginsburg’s seat now.
The message: wait!
(The New York Times) “In a survey of likely voters taken in the week leading up to Mr. Trump’s nomination on Saturday of Judge Amy Coney Barrett to the high court, 56 percent said they preferred to have the election act as a sort of referendum on the vacancy. Only 41 percent said they wanted Mr. Trump to choose a justice before November.
More striking, the voters Mr. Trump and endangered Senate Republicans must reclaim to close the gap in the polls are even more opposed to a hasty pick: 62 percent of women, 63 percent of independents and 60 percent of college-educated white voters said they wanted the winner of the campaign to fill the seat.
The warning signs for Republicans are also stark on the issue of abortion, on which Judge Barrett, a fiercely conservative jurist, could offer a pivotal vote should she be confirmed: 60 percent of those surveyed believe abortion should be legal all or some of the time.
The poll suggests that Mr. Trump would reap little political benefit from a clash over abortion rights: 56 percent said they would be less likely to vote for Mr. Trump if his justice would help overturn Roe v. Wade, while just 24 percent said they would be more inclined to vote for him.”
The numbers suggest that the GOP will pay the price for pushing Trump’s nominee among women and independent voters. Both are needed in many of the competitive races for Senate. Both are needed for Trump’s reelection.
Democrats should also be cautious and not overplay their hand. Their message should be one of agreement with Americans-we should wait. Moreover, the Democrats must accept there is little they can do to stop the appointment confirmation except for trying to get 4 Republicans to say no to moving forward.
The Democrat have one message: We waited in 2016 to let the new President nominate and we should wait now allowing the voice of the people to be heard through the election.
This political battle appears to be a loser for Republicans.
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